GENCO VPP — Probabilistic Price Scenario Engine

Backtest — quantile fan vs settled actuals

Last 9 settled delivery days. Band = Q05–Q95 (light) / Q25–Q75 (dark); line = Q50; green = IEX actual.

Rolling coverage (3-day mean)

Empirical PI80 / PI90 coverage over the backtest window. Dashed = nominal target. Gaps below target mean intervals are too narrow; large gaps above target mean they are conservative.

Live forecast — 2026-06-13

Displayed horizon is intentionally limited to today and next day. D+2..D+7 fans are generated and archived for future calibration backtests, but are not shown here.

Latest issued forecast

13 Jun, 3:02 PM IST

DAM scored forecast

12 Jun, 11:42 AM IST

latest issue at or before 12:00 IST bid gate

BESS Optimizer — Live Dispatch Schedule

Stochastic LP via Pyomo/HiGHS · 25 scenarios · 1-day horizon · schedule committed once at DAM gate · display refreshes every ~15 min

—

Market mode: DAM + RTM (Joint)

Net P&L

—

expected (INR)

Gross Revenue

—

before degradation

Degradation Cost

—

throughput wear

CVaR 5%

—

tail risk floor

Cycles

—

expected today

DAM Dispatch Schedule (hourly)

Positive = discharge (sell), Negative = charge (buy). Blue = charge, teal = discharge.

RTM Dispatch Strategy (15-min blocks)

96 blocks × 15 min. Same sign convention as DAM.

State of Charge Trajectory

SoC bounds: 30–270 MWh (10–90% DoD). Green band = safe operating zone.

Battery & Optimization Parameters

Edit any parameter below, then request a custom optimizer run on the host machine.

Edit params above, then click Run.

Loading optimizer results...

Realized PnL — Committed Fan vs Actual IEX Settlement

Fan-committed schedule settled against realized prices · hindcast only · NOT a live track record · auto-refreshes every 5 min

—

Date	Realized PnL	Expected PnL	Slippage	Capture	Cycles	Status

Loading realized PnL data...

GENCO VPP — Probabilistic Scenario Engine